Difference between revisions of "Technological percolation limit"
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(→Related: added * Up: Percolation limit) |
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| − | {{ | + | {{wikitodo|make graphical concept visualizations}} |
| − | After crossing a threshold where all the required things come to together to being fulfilled simultaneously | + | After crossing a threshold where all the required things come to together to being fulfilled simultaneously <br> |
and in a way that fits together (either by chance or by active effort) long neglected areas of technology often receive an unexpected massive boost. An ignition. | and in a way that fits together (either by chance or by active effort) long neglected areas of technology often receive an unexpected massive boost. An ignition. | ||
| − | {{ | + | {{wikitodo |discuss the concept in general and APM specific case}} |
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| + | == Example: [[Advanced productive nanosystem]]s == | ||
| + | |||
| + | * ... | ||
| + | |||
| + | == Example: Autonomous humanoid robots (with today's non atomically precise technology) == | ||
| + | |||
| + | Autonomous humanoid robots might experience the crossing of a technological percolation limit in <br> | ||
| + | the not too far future (that is: likely way before [[gem-gum factories]] arrive) <br> | ||
| + | With all the sub-technologies coming along well. | ||
| + | * Orientation: Inertial measurement units (IMUs) with sensor fusion | ||
| + | * Moving: mechanics, motors, dynamic robotics control (as one pretty inseparable sub-technology) | ||
| + | * Seeing: image recognition (interestingly this is bidirectional and lets as see the computers "hallucinations" – deep dream) | ||
| + | * Hearing: speech to text STT | ||
| + | * Thinking: contextual understanding (language translation systems need to really understand the text to make really good translations) | ||
| + | * Speaking: text to speech TTS | ||
| + | * Neuromorphic hardware chips | ||
| + | * ... | ||
| + | Once all the parts work sufficiently well then all the parts may come together spookily fast | ||
| + | |||
| + | Related (but far future): [[Multi limbed sensory equipped shells]] and [[Gem-gum balloon products]] | ||
== Related == | == Related == | ||
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* The "right time" for an (possibly old) idea to spread (and gain mass adoption) | * The "right time" for an (possibly old) idea to spread (and gain mass adoption) | ||
* [[Serendipity]] that is not as much "by chance" as one might think | * [[Serendipity]] that is not as much "by chance" as one might think | ||
| + | * Up: [[Percolation limit]] in general | ||
Latest revision as of 16:50, 16 July 2021
(wiki-TODO: make graphical concept visualizations)
After crossing a threshold where all the required things come to together to being fulfilled simultaneously
and in a way that fits together (either by chance or by active effort) long neglected areas of technology often receive an unexpected massive boost. An ignition.
(wiki-TODO: discuss the concept in general and APM specific case)
Example: Advanced productive nanosystems
- ...
Example: Autonomous humanoid robots (with today's non atomically precise technology)
Autonomous humanoid robots might experience the crossing of a technological percolation limit in
the not too far future (that is: likely way before gem-gum factories arrive)
With all the sub-technologies coming along well.
- Orientation: Inertial measurement units (IMUs) with sensor fusion
- Moving: mechanics, motors, dynamic robotics control (as one pretty inseparable sub-technology)
- Seeing: image recognition (interestingly this is bidirectional and lets as see the computers "hallucinations" – deep dream)
- Hearing: speech to text STT
- Thinking: contextual understanding (language translation systems need to really understand the text to make really good translations)
- Speaking: text to speech TTS
- Neuromorphic hardware chips
- ...
Once all the parts work sufficiently well then all the parts may come together spookily fast
Related (but far future): Multi limbed sensory equipped shells and Gem-gum balloon products
Related
- Bridging the gaps
- Theoretical overhang - pre-built segments fall in place all at once
- The "right time" for an (possibly old) idea to spread (and gain mass adoption)
- Serendipity that is not as much "by chance" as one might think
- Up: Percolation limit in general
