Difference between revisions of "Technological percolation limit"
(→Related: added note on serendipity) |
m |
||
(8 intermediate revisions by the same user not shown) | |||
Line 1: | Line 1: | ||
{{stub}} | {{stub}} | ||
− | {{ | + | {{wikitodo|make graphical concept visualizations}} |
− | After crossing | + | After crossing a threshold where all the required things come to together to being fulfilled simultaneously <br> |
+ | and in a way that fits together (either by chance or by active effort) long neglected areas of technology often receive an unexpected massive boost. An ignition. | ||
− | {{ | + | {{wikitodo |discuss the concept in general and APM specific case}} |
+ | |||
+ | == Example: [[Advanced productive nanosystem]]s == | ||
+ | |||
+ | * ... | ||
+ | |||
+ | == Example: Autonomous humanoid robots (with today's non atomically precise technology) == | ||
+ | |||
+ | Autonomous humanoid robots might experience the crossing of a technological percolation limit in <br> | ||
+ | the not too far future (that is: likely way before [[gem-gum factories]] arrive) <br> | ||
+ | With all the sub-technologies coming along well. | ||
+ | * Orientation: Inertial measurement units (IMUs) with sensor fusion | ||
+ | * Moving: mechanics, motors, dynamic robotics control (as one pretty inseparable sub-technology) | ||
+ | * Seeing: image recognition (interestingly this is bidirectional and lets as see the computers "hallucinations" – deep dream) | ||
+ | * Hearing: speech to text STT | ||
+ | * Thinking: contextual understanding (language translation systems need to really understand the text to make really good translations) | ||
+ | * Speaking: text to speech TTS | ||
+ | * Neuromorphic hardware chips | ||
+ | * ... | ||
+ | Once all the parts work sufficiently well then all the parts may come together spookily fast | ||
+ | |||
+ | Related (but far future): [[Multi limbed sensory equipped shells]] and [[Gem-gum balloon products]] | ||
+ | |||
+ | == RepRec ReChain projects == | ||
+ | |||
+ | See: [[RepRec]] & [[ReChain]] | ||
== Related == | == Related == | ||
+ | * [[Bridging the gaps]] | ||
* [[Theoretical overhang]] - pre-built segments fall in place all at once | * [[Theoretical overhang]] - pre-built segments fall in place all at once | ||
* The "right time" for an (possibly old) idea to spread (and gain mass adoption) | * The "right time" for an (possibly old) idea to spread (and gain mass adoption) | ||
− | * | + | * [[Serendipity]] that is not as much "by chance" as one might think |
+ | * Up: [[Percolation limit]] in general | ||
+ | |||
+ | == External links == | ||
+ | |||
+ | * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Percolation_threshold |
Latest revision as of 11:59, 16 November 2024
(wiki-TODO: make graphical concept visualizations)
After crossing a threshold where all the required things come to together to being fulfilled simultaneously
and in a way that fits together (either by chance or by active effort) long neglected areas of technology often receive an unexpected massive boost. An ignition.
(wiki-TODO: discuss the concept in general and APM specific case)
Contents
Example: Advanced productive nanosystems
- ...
Example: Autonomous humanoid robots (with today's non atomically precise technology)
Autonomous humanoid robots might experience the crossing of a technological percolation limit in
the not too far future (that is: likely way before gem-gum factories arrive)
With all the sub-technologies coming along well.
- Orientation: Inertial measurement units (IMUs) with sensor fusion
- Moving: mechanics, motors, dynamic robotics control (as one pretty inseparable sub-technology)
- Seeing: image recognition (interestingly this is bidirectional and lets as see the computers "hallucinations" – deep dream)
- Hearing: speech to text STT
- Thinking: contextual understanding (language translation systems need to really understand the text to make really good translations)
- Speaking: text to speech TTS
- Neuromorphic hardware chips
- ...
Once all the parts work sufficiently well then all the parts may come together spookily fast
Related (but far future): Multi limbed sensory equipped shells and Gem-gum balloon products
RepRec ReChain projects
Related
- Bridging the gaps
- Theoretical overhang - pre-built segments fall in place all at once
- The "right time" for an (possibly old) idea to spread (and gain mass adoption)
- Serendipity that is not as much "by chance" as one might think
- Up: Percolation limit in general