Difference between revisions of "Disaster proof"
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| + | [[File:Sonic checkpoint reached doodle by AlSanya-d5m90pr.png|400px|thumb|right|The point when technology becomes advanced enough to reach a self stabilizing self sustaining state where it becomes as stable or even more stable than life on earth is today. - Image by AlSanya (RetroRobosan)]] | ||
| − | Means for AP manufacturing have a stabilizing effect on advanced civilization since using them is akin to growing plants from abundant seeds. | + | Means for AP manufacturing may have a stabilizing effect on advanced civilization since using them is akin to growing plants from abundant seeds. |
| − | Reaching this level of capability | + | Reaching this level of technological capability may mean reaching something like a "game checkpoint". |
| − | + | In case of global catastrophe or personal distress, even if there's no central power source and no infrastructure, | |
| + | basic necessities as well as all sorts of luxury goods can be made. | ||
| − | In (2013) there was (and still is) a situation where electric power supply was highly centralized. | + | == Fragility of today's technology base == |
| + | |||
| + | In (2013 … 2024 … and counting) there was (and still is) a situation where electric power supply was highly centralized. | ||
If there would have been a catastrophe of some sort stopping all systems from working at once there would have been great problems to get it all up and running again | If there would have been a catastrophe of some sort stopping all systems from working at once there would have been great problems to get it all up and running again | ||
since the systems depended on themselves mutually. | since the systems depended on themselves mutually. | ||
| − | One could say the whole electric system was in a dynamic state of "alive" always threatening to "die". | + | One could say the whole electric system was in a dynamic state of "alive" always threatening to "die". |
| + | (Systems with the least outages potentially being the most fragile as they never test out full outages.) | ||
| − | APM technology in contrast can | + | Relativating a bit: With advanced APM technology a new dynamically globally alive system on a higher level will very likely emerge, |
| − | The | + | but the fallback baseline will be much higher. Averting humanitarian disaster in case of system breakdown. |
| + | There would be a sharp drop in standard of living though. | ||
| + | |||
| + | == Durability of a gemstone based APM technology base == | ||
| + | |||
| + | '''Durability during dormancy:''' <br> | ||
| + | Gemstone based APM technology in contrast can lie [[dormant for eons without loosing functionality]]. <br> | ||
| + | The main threatening factor for the continued availability of AP systems (not the [[human overpopulation|size of the human population]] - this is an entirely different matter) is '''destruction from within''' due to bad too much centralized [[general software issues|software architecture]]. Governance of remote software updates. | ||
| + | Really bad regressions seem plausible but total annihilation rather unlikely. | ||
| + | |||
| + | {{speculativity warning}}<br> | ||
| + | Further remaining threats to a gemstone based APM technology base that reside in the far future and are rather exotic like: | ||
* global radiation exposure from [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamma_burst gamma bursts]. | * global radiation exposure from [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamma_burst gamma bursts]. | ||
* planetary collisions | * planetary collisions | ||
| − | * ? | + | * ? (insert your favourite SciFi doomsday here) |
| + | |||
| + | {{speculativity warning}}<br> | ||
| + | There's the fundamentally unavoidable risk for any information processing existences ("civilizations") of | ||
| + | choosing a path that leads into a long winded dead end in advanced (partly hardware generating) software development | ||
| + | where it is unclear how far that "civilization" will need to trace back before being able to continuing onward becomes possible again. | ||
| + | Some concern software developers may resonate with. | ||
| + | Going tho the highly philosophical end this seems tied to: | ||
| + | * Gödels incompleteness or equivalently | ||
| + | * the halting problem(s) or equivalently | ||
| + | * Chaitins construction or equivalently | ||
| + | * the presence of an transfinite number of axioms that are true for no reason | ||
| + | One can't proof in advance that one won't end up in a long winded but terrible dead end. <br> | ||
| + | Some cosmic horror existential dread here. | ||
| + | |||
| + | {{todo|Discuss the importance of avoiding the loss of a bootstrapping path. Documentation of the historically followed attainment path and identification of possible shortcuts (difficult) such that bootstrapping could be repeated in the quickest possible way.}} | ||
| + | |||
| + | == Keywords == | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Checkpoint, disaster relief, civilization respawner chip, … | ||
| + | |||
| + | == Related == | ||
| + | |||
| + | * [[Desert scenario]] | ||
| + | * pros and cons of extraordinary corrosion resistances - [[Recycling]] | ||
| + | * [[Ultra long term technology stability]] – [[Gem-gum rainforest world]] | ||
| + | * [[Robustness of gemstone based APM technology compared to robustness of biological nanotechnology aka life]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | ---- | ||
| + | |||
| + | '''If you are instead looking for backup of this wiki see page: [[Support]]''' | ||
| − | [ | + | [[Category:Technology level III]] |
| + | [[Category:Information]] | ||
| + | [[Category:Philosophy]] | ||
Latest revision as of 10:52, 3 August 2024
Means for AP manufacturing may have a stabilizing effect on advanced civilization since using them is akin to growing plants from abundant seeds. Reaching this level of technological capability may mean reaching something like a "game checkpoint". In case of global catastrophe or personal distress, even if there's no central power source and no infrastructure, basic necessities as well as all sorts of luxury goods can be made.
Contents
Fragility of today's technology base
In (2013 … 2024 … and counting) there was (and still is) a situation where electric power supply was highly centralized. If there would have been a catastrophe of some sort stopping all systems from working at once there would have been great problems to get it all up and running again since the systems depended on themselves mutually. One could say the whole electric system was in a dynamic state of "alive" always threatening to "die". (Systems with the least outages potentially being the most fragile as they never test out full outages.)
Relativating a bit: With advanced APM technology a new dynamically globally alive system on a higher level will very likely emerge, but the fallback baseline will be much higher. Averting humanitarian disaster in case of system breakdown. There would be a sharp drop in standard of living though.
Durability of a gemstone based APM technology base
Durability during dormancy:
Gemstone based APM technology in contrast can lie dormant for eons without loosing functionality.
The main threatening factor for the continued availability of AP systems (not the size of the human population - this is an entirely different matter) is destruction from within due to bad too much centralized software architecture. Governance of remote software updates.
Really bad regressions seem plausible but total annihilation rather unlikely.
Warning! you are moving into more speculative areas.
Further remaining threats to a gemstone based APM technology base that reside in the far future and are rather exotic like:
- global radiation exposure from gamma bursts.
- planetary collisions
- ? (insert your favourite SciFi doomsday here)
Warning! you are moving into more speculative areas.
There's the fundamentally unavoidable risk for any information processing existences ("civilizations") of
choosing a path that leads into a long winded dead end in advanced (partly hardware generating) software development
where it is unclear how far that "civilization" will need to trace back before being able to continuing onward becomes possible again.
Some concern software developers may resonate with.
Going tho the highly philosophical end this seems tied to:
- Gödels incompleteness or equivalently
- the halting problem(s) or equivalently
- Chaitins construction or equivalently
- the presence of an transfinite number of axioms that are true for no reason
One can't proof in advance that one won't end up in a long winded but terrible dead end.
Some cosmic horror existential dread here.
(TODO: Discuss the importance of avoiding the loss of a bootstrapping path. Documentation of the historically followed attainment path and identification of possible shortcuts (difficult) such that bootstrapping could be repeated in the quickest possible way.)
Keywords
- Checkpoint, disaster relief, civilization respawner chip, …
Related
- Desert scenario
- pros and cons of extraordinary corrosion resistances - Recycling
- Ultra long term technology stability – Gem-gum rainforest world
- Robustness of gemstone based APM technology compared to robustness of biological nanotechnology aka life
If you are instead looking for backup of this wiki see page: Support
