Difference between revisions of "Technological percolation limit"

Revision as of 15:50, 16 July 2021

(wiki-TODO: make graphical concept visualizations)

After crossing a threshold where all the required things come to together to being fulfilled simultaneously
and in a way that fits together (either by chance or by active effort) long neglected areas of technology often receive an unexpected massive boost. An ignition.

(wiki-TODO: discuss the concept in general and APM specific case)

Example: Advanced productive nanosystems

• ...

Example: Autonomous humanoid robots (with today's non atomically precise technology)

Autonomous humanoid robots might experience the crossing of a technological percolation limit in
the not too far future (that is: likely way before gem-gum factories arrive)
With all the sub-technologies coming along well.

• Orientation: Inertial measurement units (IMUs) with sensor fusion
• Moving: mechanics, motors, dynamic robotics control (as one pretty inseparable sub-technology)
• Seeing: image recognition (interestingly this is bidirectional and lets as see the computers "hallucinations" – deep dream)
• Hearing: speech to text STT
• Thinking: contextual understanding (language translation systems need to really understand the text to make really good translations)
• Speaking: text to speech TTS
• Neuromorphic hardware chips
• ...

Once all the parts work sufficiently well then all the parts may come together spookily fast

Related (but far future): Multi limbed sensory equipped shells and Gem-gum balloon products

Related

• Bridging the gaps
• Theoretical overhang - pre-built segments fall in place all at once
• The "right time" for an (possibly old) idea to spread (and gain mass adoption)
• Serendipity that is not as much "by chance" as one might think
• Up: Percolation limit in general