View source for Future world scenarios

== Meta: About formulating scenarios ==

Coming up with realistic scenarios for the futures (both desirable and undesirable ones) is a very difficult thing to do. <br>
Using plural here as society is a big thing and different parts may end up at very different futures. <br>
Plus some futures may still have been likely despite not coming up at all in any of our experienced realities. <br>
Even for today there is the saying "[[The future is already here it's just not very evenly distributed]]" (William Gibson). <br>

=== Present as a problematic bias ===
 
Predicting realistic futures is not only all about <br>
hard concrete future physical technology but also about social systems, culture, <br>
economics, and governance (or [[ecovernance]] if these last two start to merge and become hard to tell apart). <br>
Lot's of things go beyond [[gemstone based APM]] technology. Beyond the core focus of this wiki. <br>
Still the author has some thoughts and ideas maybe worthwhile to present. <br>

Predictions of the future can easily end up way off due to being too caught up in the present. <br>
That is: Extrapolating too much and too directly from the presence to the future. <br>

=== More or less random examples for that bias ===

On the technology side one example coming to mind is that many (if not most) <br>
of the already few [[hard SciFi space operas]] (that aim at some realism) <br>
assume similar materials and manufacturing techniques as the ones found today. <br>
But the same goes for aspects that are today considered semi- or nontechnical / social. <br>
Assuming hard long persistence of big general problems like humanities issue with burning carbon. <br>
Or social things like predicting that overblocking, shaddowbanning, adpocalyps(es), <br> 
and generally ensittification (yes this term is on wikipedia) is getting worse and worse.

Overlooking that really bad entirely new problems may arise ([[gem-gum waste crisis]], [[population implosion]] , … ?) <br>
and that ones that are currently really bad really bad ones may get surprisingly squashed

== Scenarios ==

'''Fundamental option to start with is aim:'''
* 🤩 really good one to strive for
* 🤔 balanced one to give a realistic most believable picture
* 😰 really bad one to strive against

Trying to put several extensive world-building scenarios here would explode this page several times over. <br>
So the author won't even attempt doing so. <br>
Instead he's going for hypothetical future experience essays. <br>
Collected on the page: '''[[Story scenarios]]''' <br>

Not necessarily exclusively, but <br>
focus of short story essays will be mostly really good hopeful story scenarios 🤩 <br>
as a focus on the bad scenarios ones will come fro many authors naturally (and proactively). <br>
Too proactively and way overblown misled sometimes. See: [[Grey goo horror fable]]) <br>
 
Some positive scenario <br>
– not focusing on inhabitants <br>
– but focusing ion the landscape/environment <br>
can be found here on the page: '''[[The look of our environment]]''' <br>

Looking "away from the horizon" closer to small things an objects: <br>
See page: '''[[Likely visual appearance of gem-gum products]]''' <br>

Fore some topics clearly not related to [[gem based APM]] 
but only management of society (economy, governance, …)<br>
See page: '''[[A better internet]]'''

== Related ==

* '''[[Story scenarios]]'''
* '''[[The look of our environment]]''' ([[Likely visual appearance of gem-gum products]])
* [[A better internet]]
* [[Ecovernance]] … A hypothetical future where economy and governance merged so far that they are no longer clearly/simply separable
* [[Gem-gum waste crisis]]

== External links ==

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enshittification
* https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adpocalypse (Italian page. No English one as of time of writing 2024.)
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_filter#Overblocking
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shadow_banning