Technological percolation limit: Difference between revisions
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After crossing a threshold where all the required things come to together to being fulfilled simultaneously | After crossing a threshold where all the required things come to together to being fulfilled simultaneously <br> | ||
and in a way that fits together (either by chance or by active effort) long neglected areas of technology often receive an unexpected massive boost. An ignition. | and in a way that fits together (either by chance or by active effort) long neglected areas of technology often receive an unexpected massive boost. An ignition. | ||
{{wikitodo |discuss the concept in general and APM specific case}} | {{wikitodo |discuss the concept in general and APM specific case}} | ||
== Example: [[Advanced productive nanosystem]]s == | |||
* ... | |||
== Example: Autonomous humanoid robots (with today's non atomically precise technology) == | |||
Autonomous humanoid robots might experience the crossing of a technological percolation limit in <br> | |||
the not too far future (that is: likely way before [[gem-gum factories]] arrive) <br> | |||
With all the sub-technologies coming along well. | |||
* Orientation: Inertial measurement units (IMUs) with sensor fusion | |||
* Moving: mechanics, motors, dynamic robotics control (as one pretty inseparable sub-technology) | |||
* Seeing: image recognition (interestingly this is bidirectional and lets as see the computers "hallucinations" – deep dream) | |||
* Hearing: speech to text STT | |||
* Thinking: contextual understanding (language translation systems need to really understand the text to make really good translations) | |||
* Speaking: text to speech TTS | |||
* Neuromorphic hardware chips | |||
* ... | |||
Once all the parts work sufficiently well then all the parts may come together spookily fast | |||
Related (but far future): [[Multi limbed sensory equipped shells]] and [[Gem-gum balloon products]] | |||
== Related == | == Related == | ||
Revision as of 15:52, 16 July 2021
(wiki-TODO: make graphical concept visualizations)
After crossing a threshold where all the required things come to together to being fulfilled simultaneously
and in a way that fits together (either by chance or by active effort) long neglected areas of technology often receive an unexpected massive boost. An ignition.
(wiki-TODO: discuss the concept in general and APM specific case)
Example: Advanced productive nanosystems
- ...
Example: Autonomous humanoid robots (with today's non atomically precise technology)
Autonomous humanoid robots might experience the crossing of a technological percolation limit in
the not too far future (that is: likely way before gem-gum factories arrive)
With all the sub-technologies coming along well.
- Orientation: Inertial measurement units (IMUs) with sensor fusion
- Moving: mechanics, motors, dynamic robotics control (as one pretty inseparable sub-technology)
- Seeing: image recognition (interestingly this is bidirectional and lets as see the computers "hallucinations" – deep dream)
- Hearing: speech to text STT
- Thinking: contextual understanding (language translation systems need to really understand the text to make really good translations)
- Speaking: text to speech TTS
- Neuromorphic hardware chips
- ...
Once all the parts work sufficiently well then all the parts may come together spookily fast
Related (but far future): Multi limbed sensory equipped shells and Gem-gum balloon products
Related
- Bridging the gaps
- Theoretical overhang - pre-built segments fall in place all at once
- The "right time" for an (possibly old) idea to spread (and gain mass adoption)
- Serendipity that is not as much "by chance" as one might think